You let a man get away with murder once and he might think that you didn’t notice, twice, and he might think that you are infirm of purpose, but letting him get away with it, shall we say, 100,000 times, and he might just mistake you for an ally, your rhetoric notwithstanding. This is how Assad thinks about America. But don’t take my word for it, take his: “The Americans have been pragmatic from the very beginning and never pursued any course to its [logical] conclusion. They would eventually side with the victor."
Assad’s American Bet
In his meeting with a Lebanese delegation from the pro-Hezbollah March 8 coalition on April 21st, Assad revealed an important element in his thinking at this stage when he told his guests that “The Americans have been pragmatic from the very beginning, and never pursued any course to its [logical] conclusion. They would eventually side with the victor."
Over the years, the Americans have given Assad plenty of reason to think like this. Even under the Bush Administration, pressures on Assad were lessened in order to allow for Syria’s participation in the Annapolis peace conference. Under the Obama Administration, he was treated as a reformer for reasons more closely linked to the Administration’s ideological stands than Assad’s own record. Then, and ever since the beginning of the Revolution, and despite calls on him to step down, Assad has been allowed by the Administration to literally get away with murder, not once or twice, but 100,000 times by conservative estimates, as red lines keep shifting and vanishing.
Assad has been given too many opportunities before, and has been allowed to get away with too many things to think differently. His father’s own career, especially, his relations with various American administrations would also go a long way in reinforcing this.
At this stage, Assad’s entire strategy seems hedged on surviving long enough for America to come around and hitch her regional wagons to him again.
Leaked video from the village of Mukharram, Homs Province, shows pro-Assad militias setting the corpses of several rebels on fire http://youtu.be/2IG3y5S9Qm4
An Alawite supporter of Assad in Tripoli Lebanon gets abused by local rebel sympathizers, as sectarian tension keep escalating http://youtu.be/FPBPkrB9kS0
Rebels in Aleppo showcase their gains from a recent takeover of a loyalist position, known as Al-Alkamiyah http://youtu.be/k8hvJGWztZs , http://youtu.be/VNvZf51_uR0 Scenes from the clashes http://youtu.be/h2KweUjprAY The position of a strategic importance and its capture could facilitate the takeover the military airport a Minnigh.
Loyalists take up positions around the town of Hraak, Daraa Province http://youtu.be/YRPtm0jJj-w Prepare their own tanks for the looming confrontation http://youtu.be/e5FRcJULDEI and their anti-aircraft batteries http://youtu.be/oTtjqeayeVQ Rebels and loyalists clash near Khirbet Ghazaleh http://youtu.be/lQbBUjFmlhw and around Basra Al-Sham http://youtu.be/gCMwSsIk_xA
The intensive pounding of Jobar Neighborhood, Damascus City http://youtu.be/eCnia0HIY-g , http://youtu.be/TEkXMxdabkA leaves a family of 5 dead http://youtu.be/NDNluhqKjRw
Aerial bombardment on rebel strongholds in Eastern Ghoutah, Damascus Suburbs, continues: Saqba http://youtu.be/Cs42CzEZNH0 , http://youtu.be/voqIhyRFGXs , http://youtu.be/oNqedJTNYos Kafar Batna http://youtu.be/ziZM6UaWSFI , http://youtu.be/tM7WHjqiFWE Zamalka http://youtu.be/pBQx6ICaEU8
To the West, the suburb of Moadamiyah continues to be pounded http://youtu.be/myC3GICbQoE Nearby Daraya comes under aerial attack http://youtu.be/uvYXL-Um3Kk , http://youtu.be/FksTL-Kaqio